General Posts

Some stuff about decisions

How do you make a decision? Do you have a process, or do you just wing it / go with your gut feelings?

I’m an intuiter (is that word)…or intuative that is, so I often will go with my gut and rationalize it later. Usually I don’t have to rationalize because my gut leads me pretty well….especially when I’m driving, I’m good at guessing directions.

The problem is that I’m also a thinker (ENTP if you want all the letters), so over my tenure at the university I have systematically attempted to eliminate my gut, and replace it with a set of equations. This is better for some things I think, and I’ve managed to maintain some or most of my spontenatity, but what I’m concerned with is how other people see that.

Is the way you make decisions a process, can you improve that process, do you have a specific process for improving that process?

If not, how do you know you aren’t arriving at the wrong conclusions because you started with the wrong assumptions.

Jeff said he sorta starts on a trajectory based on some intial fact and his feelings about something and then is only moved from that slightly by presented arguements / facts discussions. He was making the point that over time this can lead to a change in thinking, but it keeps him stable in the face of the blowing winds of arguements.

That bugged me a little. I mean that isn’t a wholly wrong approach to that kind of thing and there is even wisdom in it (i.e. not ending up wishy-washy about things). But what if you are wrong. If you missed a big chunk of facts. Isn’t that what allows the Micheal Moores of the world to use the “Ends justifying the Means” kinds of reporting and lying? Is there a way to approach a problem completely humble, but still solid when you need to be?

I don’t know the answer to all this…and I’m not critcizing Jeff…we all have our own ways of doing things and that is good, but should we all strive to improve, and that doesn’t appear to leave room for much more than very small improvements? That is sorta my goal in life, to learn as much as I can about as many topics as I can, and improve my processes for learning and decision making and continue refining that effeciency for the rest of my life. I would kinda like to be an advisor to someon important some day, or maybe be an important policy or law maker, and I think that is a really good skill to have if you want to do that. I don’t think you can do that effectively with just a single soap-box kind of issue. But if we cut out our feelings, or emotions and make decisions with a formula, where does that leave room for God. And if we are just on a trajectory, even if we listen to God, how do we get over ourselves to change the direction of that trajectory in the face of our own stubborness. (that isn’t a stab at Jeff…cuz I run into that very problem with myself which is part of why I want to refine this process)

I’ve decided to treat as many arguements as I can as true, and then analyze them and see if they remain true. Now you wouldn’t know this to talk to me, cuz I’ll fight you to the bone if I think your wrong about something. But what you don’t see is me going home and processing over what you said and thinking about it, changing my mind sometimes or adjusting my arguement to account for the points you raised, and then later using my revised arguement in a discussion. I was arguing with Josh about Micheal Moore the other day, and I had to think that in light of all the good things he has done that Josh presented me does that justify the means (lies, deception, praying on emotions instead of using facts, etc…). I think it doesn’t, but the point is I think I pissed of Josh for a bit in arguing with him, but he doesn’t know I went home and thought about it later.

This is hard, because some arguements just aren’t true or I’ve delt with them so many times they just fall apart in my mind too quickly to allow me to learn anything about them. (I get that way with liberal fiscal policy and the total lack of factual evidence to back it up) Also I rule out extremist trying to get me pissed about something. Those people try to tap-dance on your emotions to get you to see things their ways. They are also the people that will end up flat out lying to people to get them to believe things.

Anyway, this process is getting better, and making me a better person I think. I listen more to people, I yell less (unless I’m just having a fun time arguing), I read more news now like I did when I was in High School, but I read it with a more open mind (I was too busy in college to read a lot of news…if you argue with me I’ll bring up a lot of stuff from the late nineties to back up my opinion, and my lack of time for reading is why). I also try to read more opposing viewpoints than I used to. I think if you can’t play devils advocate and convince a reaonably intelligent person (or un-intelligent if you aren’t good at making an arguement) that the opposite of what you believe is true is in fact true (get enough “true’s” in there for you) than you shouldn’t be making too much of a case for it since you haven’t thought about the converse of your beliefs and how that really works. (I don’t actually do this on a regular basis, I just think a lot about the topics a lot from different angles, but I have before to prove to myself that I could)

That is part of why I read largely atheist communities and news groups. There are some really smart people on , and I’ve learned a lot about what the opposition to Christianity is. I’ve also read a lot of hateful garbage, but that isn’t the point.

Anyway, what is your process for making choices, forming opinions, and allowing different people more and less sway over your opinions? Do you have a process? Have you ever thought about that process before now? And how in life to you set about improving your-self, or bettering your thought process to yield opinions that don’t have to be changed as often? How do you stay humble when you think you are getting good at it, so you can keep it open to change? (that last one is my biggest fault in my process) And finally when is your gut led you better than your brain, and how do you keep one from over-ruling the other in important choices.

(I have an example of my gut over my brain with this thing I’ve been doing with Laurens family, it doesn’t make a ton of rational sense, but my gut tells me to keep with it….that may prove to be folly eventually, but just for contrast that is one situation for my friends to think about)